Chuck Holton
Politics • Culture • News
The Dismal State of U.S. Military Readiness in a World of Rising Threats
January 14, 2025
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The U.S. military, long hailed as a cornerstone of global security, is facing a readiness crisis at a time when geopolitical tensions and threats are escalating. From increasing concerns over physical fitness and recruitment shortfalls to strained resources and outdated equipment, the state of the armed forces leaves much to be desired. While adversaries like China and Russia continue to expand and modernize their militaries, the U.S. struggles to address glaring vulnerabilities.

The Fitness Crisis

A recent study revealed a troubling statistic: nearly 70% of American soldiers are either obese or overweight (NY Post, 2023). This poses a serious challenge to operational readiness. The modern battlefield demands soldiers who can perform under physically demanding conditions, yet the rising obesity rates reflect a larger societal trend that has seeped into the armed forces. Fitness standards, critical for combat effectiveness, are now a pressing concern.

Recruitment and Retention Challenges

The military is also facing significant recruitment shortfalls. In fiscal year 2023, the armed services collectively missed their recruitment goals by about 41,000 recruits, a shortfall exacerbated by the shrinking pool of eligible and interested young Americans (archive.ph). Factors such as a strong civilian job market, declining interest in military service, and stricter health and conduct standards have contributed to this crisis. Many young men who traditionally would have been attracted to military service are increasingly deterred, viewing the armed forces as a "grand social experiment" rather than a bastion of discipline and duty. The growing emphasis on diversity initiatives and the inclusion of transgender and gay individuals has sparked debate, with critics arguing that it undermines military cohesion. In fact, the number of transgender and gay individuals in the U.S. military is reportedly enough to fill more than a division, which has further fueled concerns among traditional recruits and veterans.

These recruitment challenges raise serious doubts about the military’s ability to maintain its force structure and meet future operational demands. Without addressing these perceptions and creating a culture that appeals to a broader range of potential recruits, the armed forces risk an even deeper manpower crisis.

Budgetary Constraints and Delays

Defense experts warn that the U.S. military is ill-prepared for a major global conflict, with inadequate stockpiles of weapons and ammunition and a defense industrial base described as “grossly inadequate” (NY Post, 2024). Compounding these challenges are budgetary disputes and delayed appropriations in Congress, which hinder the timely implementation of vital defense programs. The lack of political consensus on defense priorities further weakens the military's ability to respond to emerging threats.

Leadership and Policy Issues

The recent nomination of Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense has sparked controversy, highlighting a broader debate over the direction of U.S. military leadership. Critics argue that Hegseth, a Fox News commentator with limited high-level command experience, lacks the credentials necessary for such a critical role (NY Post, 2025). The confirmation process underscores the challenges in aligning military leadership with the strategic demands of the 21st century.

A Call to Action

The dismal state of U.S. military readiness demands immediate attention. Addressing these issues requires a multifaceted approach, including improved fitness standards, revitalized recruitment efforts, streamlined defense budgets, and competent leadership. As global threats continue to rise, from a resurgent Russia to a rapidly militarizing China, the U.S. can no longer afford to ignore the cracks in its foundation. The time to act is now, before readiness slips further and the nation’s ability to respond to crises is irrevocably compromised.

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Mercy on the Ground, War on the Horizon

The conflict between the United States and Iran is doing that strange dance right now. On one hand, you’ve got “negotiations” in Geneva. On the other hand… you’ve got aircraft carriers moving.

Axios reported this morning that we may be closer to striking Iran than most people realize. Not months. Not “someday.” Possibly days. And if you watch the hardware, it tells a clearer story than the press releases.

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From the eastern Mediterranean—especially with tanker support—U.S. aircraft can strike targets inside Iran. Which means this could kick off before the Ford ever gets to the Gulf.

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That’s not negotiation.

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Can Iran Sink a Carrier?

Let’s be serious for a moment. Yes, Iran has hypersonic missiles. Yes, they have thousands of short-range missiles designed to threaten neighbors like Saudi Arabia. Yes, they have speedboats with guns and some small submarines.

But here’s the problem for them:

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Iran’s Threat Videos, America’s Buildup, and the Question Nobody Wants to Answer

Right now, the nuclear talks in Geneva are stalling with Iran. Meanwhile, the United States is building combat power in the region at a level we haven’t seen since the Iraq invasion—two aircraft carriers, dozens of warships, hundreds of combat aircraft, and tens of thousands of troops either in theater or moving that direction.

 

The U.S. buildup is not subtle—and Iran knows it

From what I’m tracking, the U.S. is moving into the region with:

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  • A steady stream of support aircraft—tankers, ISR platforms, and the stuff you don’t talk about on a public livestream

And here’s the point: the United States isn’t putting all that out there to “negotiate harder.” That’s the kind of posture you take when you want your opponent to understand the consequences before you act.

Iran’s information war just leveled up (and yes, the video was impressive)

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And I’ll say this plainly: it was well-made. Whoever is building their media operation understands modern influence warfare. The goal isn’t just to scare Israel—it’s to scare Americans, spook markets, pressure allies, and make decision-makers hesitate.

The missile they’re showcasing is the Khoramshahr-4 (they’re pitching it as unstoppable, “uninterceptable,” and essentially a war-ending weapon).

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Khoramshahr-4: a serious threat, but not a war-winner

From the way this missile is being described, it’s a liquid-fueled, medium-range system with roughly 2,000 km range—meaning Israel is in reach, U.S. bases in the region are in reach, and potentially some assets farther out are threatened depending on basing and launch options.

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But Iran cannot win a conventional war against the U.S. and Israel.

That’s why they’re leaning so heavily into the psychological side: if you can’t win the fight, you try to prevent the fight.

The Strait of Hormuz threat has a problem: China

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