Chuck Holton
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Armenia’s Bold Pivot:
A Strategic Alliance with the U.S.
January 16, 2025

 

On January 14, 2025, Armenia and the United States signed the Strategic Partnership Charter, marking a significant enhancement in their bilateral relations.

On January 14, 2025, Armenia took a historic step, signing a Strategic Partnership Charter with the United States. For decades, this small South Caucasus nation has walked a delicate line, relying heavily on Moscow for security and support. But this bold agreement signals a decisive shift toward the West, shaking up the regional balance of power.

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The new agreement outlines several key areas of cooperation that could reshape Armenia’s future:

1. Strengthening Defense:

Armenia will receive enhanced military training and integrate its systems with Euro-Atlantic defense standards. This move reduces its reliance on Russian military aid, giving Armenia greater autonomy to protect its borders and sovereignty.

2. Advancing Nuclear Energy:

The two nations have agreed to begin talks on a 123 Agreement, enabling peaceful nuclear cooperation. With Armenia’s aging Metsamor nuclear plant nearing its end, this partnership could secure the country’s energy independence.

3. Driving Economic and Democratic Reform:

The U.S. will provide support for Armenia’s economic development and democratic governance, helping stabilize the nation and fostering long-term growth.

Why Now?

Armenia’s pivot isn’t just about seizing new opportunities—it’s about addressing old frustrations. In recent conflicts with Azerbaijan, Russia’s tepid response left Armenia feeling abandoned by its traditional ally. Growing mistrust in Moscow has opened the door for stronger ties with the West. This new partnership with the U.S. is more than a symbolic gesture. It represents Armenia’s determination to chart its own course, even as it navigates its regional challenges.

Russia’s Response

As expected, Moscow isn’t happy. Russian officials have labeled the agreement destabilizing and accused the U.S. of encroaching on their sphere of influence. But here’s the thing: even the Kremlin has acknowledged Armenia’s right to make its own decisions—a subtle nod to the diminishing leverage Russia holds over its former satellite states.

For Washington, this is more than Armenia. The South Caucasus is a strategically critical region, bordering the Middle East and serving as a vital energy corridor. Also, if the US does nothing in Armenia, they will likely fall into the hands of Iran.  Strengthening ties with Armenia is a clear step toward promoting regional stability and countering authoritarian influence. This partnership is a gamble for Armenia. Strengthening ties with the West may alienate traditional allies like Russia while intensifying tensions with Azerbaijan. But Armenia seems ready to take that risk, betting on a future defined by sovereignty and self-determination rather than dependence.

The U.S.-Armenia Strategic Partnership Charter is more than an agreement—it’s a declaration of intent. Armenia is stepping out of Russia’s shadow and into a new era, one where its alliances reflect its aspirations for freedom, stability, and progress. This is a pivotal moment for a small nation with big ambitions. Whether it succeeds or struggles, one thing is certain: Armenia is no longer content to be a pawn in someone else’s game. It’s making its own moves now—and the world is watching.

Chuck and Connie are leading a tour of Armenia in June 2025.  If you'd like to join us to get to know this amazing country, click here.

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DAESH 2.0 is Here
ISIS Is Making a Comeback – And the World Is Letting It Happen
ISIS Attacker in Austria holds up the ISIS symbol of victory as he is detained by police

 

When a 14-year-old boy was stabbed to death in Austria by a Syrian refugee who pledged allegiance to ISIS, the world barely took notice. It was yet another tragic, random act of violence in the news cycle—except it wasn’t random. Authorities found an ISIS flag in the attacker’s home. He was radicalized online. And he was following a playbook that has been in circulation for years, waiting for the right conditions to spark a resurgence.

Those conditions are here.

ISIS isn’t just making a comeback—it’s been waiting in the shadows, watching, recruiting, and preparing. And right now, global security efforts are being scaled back, giving them exactly what they need: less resistance. While the world thought ISIS had been defeated, they were actually regrouping, recruiting online, and infiltrating via immigration into Europe and the U.S. This story isn’t over—it may just be getting started, and the next chapter could be even worse.

A Global Fight Against ISIS

The fight against ISIS was never just about the U.S. The Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) played a massive role in dismantling the so-called caliphate, losing over 12,000 fighters in the process. They did this with U.S. backing, intelligence, and air support, but they bore the brunt of the ground war. European and Middle Eastern nations also contributed to efforts in counterterrorism, cyber warfare, and military strikes.

But now, that collective effort is fading.

Recent ISIS-Linked Attacks

ISIS-affiliated violence is on the rise again:

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  • Somalia (2025): ISIS fighters launched deadly assaults on military bases, leading to clashes with security forces.

  • Syria (2025): A growing number of ISIS sleeper cells have attacked Syrian Democratic Forces and civilians.

  • Iraq (2024): A bombing in Baghdad killed dozens, claimed by an ISIS affiliate.

  • Turkey (2024): Authorities foiled a planned terrorist attack in Istanbul, arresting suspects with ties to ISIS.

Syria’s Power Vacuum and the Perfect Storm for Extremists

The Middle East is once again in chaos. Syria is leaderless. The power vacuum left behind is exactly the kind of environment that breeds extremism. ISIS fighters, who never truly left, are emerging from hiding, seizing weapons from abandoned military stockpiles, and reorganizing. They are finding ungoverned spaces to train, recruit, and spread their propaganda.

And what is happening? The U.S. and its allies are pulling away.

The Biden administration has cut aid that supported Kurdish forces who helped dismantle ISIS in the first place. International funding once kept prisons in Syria operational—prisons that house thousands of ISIS fighters. Now, with that funding slashed, there is growing fear of prison riots and mass breakouts. If that happens, thousands of battle-hardened jihadists will be free to launch attacks across the world.

The Digital Battlefield – ISIS Is Winning Online

ISIS doesn’t need territory to be deadly. They have adapted. Their battlefield is digital, and their recruitment efforts online have been disturbingly effective. The Austrian attacker? Radicalized through ISIS propaganda on the internet. And he’s not alone.

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Doppelgänger:
Russia’s Digital Puppet Master and the Disinformation War on America

Did you think the internet was just a tool for communication? Think again.  It's become a battleground for psychological warfare. One of the most insidious threats in this space is Doppelgänger, a Russian disinformation campaign designed to divide Americans against each other by infiltrating social media with fake accounts, inflammatory content, and deceptive narratives.

How Doppelgänger Works: A Masterclass in Digital Deception

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1. Creating Fake Social Media Accounts

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  • Have generic or misspelled names (e.g., “John_Smith77” or “Sarah_Willams” instead of “Williams”).

  • Lack a verifiable history—often created just weeks or months before they start posting politically charged content.

  • Follow a mix of real users and other fake accounts to make them seem legitimate.

2. Targeting Polarized Groups

Doppelgänger does not create new issues; instead, it weaponizes existing tensions by tailoring messages to specific audiences. Some tactics include:

  • For Conservatives: Fake accounts push content suggesting that elections are rigged, crime is out of control, or that the U.S. government is suppressing free speech and religion.

  • For Liberals: They promote narratives that law enforcement is irredeemably corrupt, that certain groups are perpetually oppressed, or that America’s institutions cannot be reformed but must be dismantled.

  • For Minority Communities: Bots spread fake news about discrimination, police brutality, or foreign policy decisions to erode trust in the government and law enforcement.

  • For Veterans & Military Families: They exploit patriotism and distrust of the government by spreading conspiracy theories about military funding, treatment of soldiers, or secret government agendas.

3. Flooding Social Media With Provocative Content

Once these fake accounts gain a following, they unleash a firehose of provocative, misleading, and divisive content. Examples include:

  • Misleading memes that distort facts about elections, social justice issues, or international conflicts.

  • Fake news articles cloned from reputable media outlets but edited to contain false or misleading claims.

  • Manipulated videos designed to make political figures appear incompetent, corrupt, or extreme.

  • AI-generated comments on high-profile posts, inflaming debates by posing as passionate partisans.

These tactics trap real users into emotionally charged debates, leading them to spread misinformation unknowingly. The more viral the content, the more effective it becomes in shifting public perception.

4. Orchestrating Hashtag Campaigns & Comment Storms

Doppelgänger also manipulates the algorithmic nature of social media by coordinating massive waves of fake engagement. Here’s how:

  • Coordinated hashtags: Bots push controversial hashtags (e.g., #RiggedElection, #DefundThePolice, #FakePandemic) to make them trend.

  • Comment storms: Dozens of fake accounts flood the replies of journalists, politicians, or influencers with nearly identical inflammatory comments to create the illusion of widespread sentiment.

  • Fake influencer personas: Some fake accounts operate like influencers, gaining followers and trust before dropping divisive posts that sway public opinion.

5. Playing Both Sides to Keep the Chaos Going

One of the most devious aspects of Doppelgänger is that it doesn’t favor one political side—it plays both sides to maximize division. For instance:

  • Fake conservative accounts claim Democrats are destroying the country.

  • Fake liberal accounts claim Republicans are leading America toward authoritarianism.

  • Fake “neutral” accounts pose as independent voices but subtly encourage distrust in institutions, media, and the democratic process.

Real-World Impact: How Doppelgänger Has Influenced Americans

This campaign has had real consequences, influencing public discourse, elections, and even protests. Examples include:

  • 2020 Election Interference: Doppelgänger pushed both "election fraud" and "voter suppression" narratives to sow chaos regardless of the outcome.

  • COVID-19 Misinformation: The network spread contradictory messages—some accounts pushed anti-vaccine propaganda, while others claimed the pandemic was far worse than reported, further dividing the public.

  • George Floyd Protests: Some fake accounts encouraged violent responses, while others pushed conspiracy theories that the protests were staged.

How to Recognize a Doppelgänger Account

To fight back, you must learn to spot fake social media accounts:

  1. Profile Picture Test: Run the image through a reverse search (like Google Reverse Image or TinEye). If it appears elsewhere, it’s likely stolen or AI-generated.

  2. Posting Patterns: Fake accounts post non-stop, often at all hours, since they operate from different time zones.

  3. Weird Followers & Engagement: They may have lots of followers but minimal personal interactions (no birthday posts, no family pictures, no casual conversations).

  4. Suspicious Language: Awkward phrasing, excessive typos, or a lack of regional slang can indicate a non-native English speaker running the account.

  5. Content Focus: If the account only posts about politics, never about hobbies, family, or daily life, it’s likely fake.

What You Can Do to Stop Doppelgänger

You’re not powerless against this disinformation war. Here’s how to fight back:

  • Verify Before You Share: Always check multiple sources before sharing sensational news.

  • Report Suspicious Accounts: If something feels off, report the account to the platform.

  • Don’t Engage with Bots: Trolls and fake accounts thrive on engagement. Ignoring them weakens their impact.

  • Educate Others: Talk to friends and family about these tactics so they don’t fall victim.

Conclusion: A Battle for the American Mind

Doppelgänger is not about convincing you to support Russia—it’s about tearing Americans apart from within. By amplifying anger, fear, and distrust, this campaign weakens the U.S. without firing a single bullet.

The best defense? Awareness, critical thinking, and unity. If we recognize and reject these manipulative tactics, we can fight back against the invisible war being waged in our social media feeds.

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My Two Trips to Chernobyl
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My geiger counter watch showing radiation levels about 150x higher than normal.  Did not stay here long!
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A Nursery in Pripyat.  More than 150,000 people once lived here.
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