Chuck Holton
Politics • Culture • News
Russia’s War on Civilians—and What It Tells Us About the Future of Warfare
May 16, 2026
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I don’t talk about Ukraine as much as I used to. Not because it’s not important—but because a lot of people have tuned it out. It’s been going on long enough that it’s faded into the background noise for most Americans. That’s a mistake. Because what’s happening in Ukraine right now is a preview of the future of warfare—and it has direct implications for U.S. national security.

Let me explain.

(If you missed the LIVE, you can watch it HERE )

A War on Civilians, Not Soldiers

Russia just launched one of the largest aerial assaults of the entire war—over 1,500 drones and missiles in about a 30-hour period.

Think about that for a second. Thirty straight hours of air raid sirens. Explosions. Families hiding in basements. Kids wondering if their apartment building is next. And here’s the part that matters most: these weren’t primarily military targets. Russia is targeting civilians—apartment buildings, infrastructure, everyday people. That’s not accidental. It’s intentional. It’s terrorism as strategy.

I’ve stood in the rubble of those buildings. I’ve seen what’s left behind. One image that still sticks with me is a little girl’s pet turtle—blown out of an apartment after a missile strike, painted toenails and all. They never found the girl. That’s what this war looks like on the ground.

Ukraine Fights a Different Kind of War

Now contrast that with how Ukraine is fighting. While Russia is hitting civilians, Ukraine is targeting oil refineries, aircraft, radar systems—military infrastructure that actually affects the war effort. That difference matters. Ukraine isn’t trying to terrorize the Russian population. They’re trying to degrade Russia’s ability to wage war. That’s the difference between a military campaign and a campaign of intimidation. And it’s one of the reasons Ukrainian morale is holding strong—even under constant attack.

The Drone War Has Changed Everything

If you want to understand where warfare is heading, don’t look at tanks. Look at drones. Ukraine is now operating at a level that frankly should concern every military planner in the United States. They’ve figured out how to:

  • Launch drones remotely from hidden platforms
  • Fly them from anywhere in the world
  • Strike deep inside enemy territory
  • Automate large portions of the battlefield

We’re talking about unmanned ground vehicles evacuating wounded soldiers. Armed robotic systems holding defensive positions. Drone boats launching missiles and aerial drones from the sea. At one point, a single unmanned ground vehicle reportedly held off a Russian unit for over a month.

And here’s the uncomfortable truth: the United States is behind in this area. We’re now sending personnel to learn from the Ukrainians.

Russia Is Bleeding Itself Out

Despite the massive attacks, Russia is not winning this war. They’re losing soldiers at a staggering rate—far faster than they can replace them. And that matters long-term. Wars aren’t just about territory. They’re about demographics, economics, and sustainability. Russia is burning through its future—its young men, its workforce, its ability to project power decades from now. Meanwhile, Ukraine is fighting like a country that knows it has no choice. Because for Ukraine, this isn’t a war of choice. It’s an existential fight. If they lose, their country ceases to exist.

Propaganda Is a Battlefield Too

Another piece of this war that doesn’t get enough attention is information warfare. There’s a massive amount of Russian propaganda circulating—especially on social media—trying to paint Ukraine as the aggressor or muddy the waters about what’s actually happening. But the basic facts haven’t changed:

Russia invaded Ukraine.
Ukraine didn’t invade Russia.

Everything else spins out from that reality.

Why This Matters to You

You might be thinking, “Okay, but why should I care?”

Here’s why.

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We study the Bible to better know the God who is with us, and to understand His eternal purposes for all people—both the redeemed and the condemned. We also study to know righteousness and to distinguish good from evil (Hebrews 5:14). These Scriptures fully equip us to be always prepared for every opportunity to do good and love our neighbors (2 Timothy 3:16-17; Galatians 6:10). Furthermore, as we lay to heart the stories and testimonies of God's activity toward humanity, we are emboldened to trust in His providence (Romans 15:4). Notably, as we obey what we understand of the Bible and put our trust in Jesus Christ, He promises to make Himself known to us in revelatory ways (John 14:21). While there is much more to cover on this topic, may God help us to deny ourselves daily and prioritize His word and will over everything else in life (Luke 9:23; Matthew 6:33). For He is worthy to be loved with all of our heart and soul and mind and strength (Mark 12:30).

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There is no other city with greater significance and more blessed promises than the chosen city of Jerusalem in the Promised Land of Israel (Psalm 132:13-14). Both the city and its future inhabitants are greatly treasured by God. By and large, much of Western Christianity has neglected such areas of Scripture or has interpreted them incorrectly, but may we allow His word to shape our theology and not man’s puffed-up and carnal traditions. Here are some of the many Scriptures that reveal the coming glories of the holy city of the Almighty (specifically of the Messianic age when Jesus Christ returns and reigns as King over a restored creation Acts 3:21)

"Says the LORD of hosts: ‘I am zealous for Zion with great zeal; With great fervor I am zealous for her.’ Thus says the LORD: ‘I will return to Zion, and dwell in the midst of Jerusalem. Jerusalem shall be called the City of Truth, the Mountain of the LORD of hosts, ...

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Supporter Call Replay: Chuck Holton's Latest Update

Missed the live supporter call? You can now watch the full replay.

In this conversation, Chuck Holton shares the latest updates, discusses what's happening on the ground, and answers questions from local supporters. Thank you to everyone who joined the live call and for your continued support.

Watch the recording below.

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The War Isn't Over—So Let's Stop Pretending It Is

I'm writing this from Tijuana, where I'll be reporting over the next couple of days before moving on to my next assignment. Before we get into what's happening here on the border, though, there have been some significant developments in the Middle East that deserve a closer look. As usual, the headlines are telling only part of the story.

This week, President Trump formally notified Congress that the United States has resumed offensive military operations against Iran under the War Powers Resolution, effectively bringing an end to the ceasefire that had been in place since April. At the same time, U.S. Central Command announced that the blockade of Iranian ports has been reinstated, marking a return to a more aggressive strategy aimed at isolating Iran while protecting international shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.

Those are important developments in their own right, but they also reveal something else: despite the political rhetoric coming from Washington, this war is far from over.

U.S. Navy destroyers transit the Strait of Hormuz as American forces resume offensive operations against Iran.

 

One of the things that has always frustrated me—regardless of which party occupies the White House—is the tendency for politicians to declare victory long before the facts justify it. As I said during my livestream, "I don't like hype, and I don't like bravado. If you have to tell the world what a tough guy you are, you're not a very tough guy." I'd much rather deal with reality than campaign slogans, and the reality is that Iran remains capable of carrying out the very actions this military campaign was intended to stop.

That doesn't mean the United States hasn't had significant success. It has. Iranian military infrastructure has been heavily damaged. Key facilities have been struck. Their naval forces have suffered substantial losses, and their ability to project conventional military power has been degraded. But that's not the same thing as saying the war has been won.

Military victory isn't measured by speeches or press conferences. It's measured by whether the enemy can still accomplish what you went to war to prevent.

"The enemy's got to not be able to continue to do what you went to war to stop them from doing," I said during the broadcast. "That's kind of the whole point of this."

Unfortunately, recent events suggest Iran still possesses that capability.

Within the past several days, Iranian anti-ship missiles struck two commercial vessels near the Strait of Hormuz and the Gulf of Oman. One of those attacks killed an Indian crewman and injured several others. What's particularly noteworthy is that neither vessel had any meaningful connection to the United States or Israel. According to Tehran, the ships were attacked because they failed to comply with Iran's demands regarding passage through the Strait.

The Strait of Hormuz remains one of the world's most strategically important maritime chokepoints, carrying roughly one-fifth of global oil shipments.

 

That represents an important shift. Until recently, Iran largely claimed it was targeting vessels connected to Israel or the United States. Now it appears to be asserting authority over international shipping itself, attempting to dictate who may transit one of the world's most strategically important waterways. That is something the United States—and frankly, the international community—cannot allow.

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A Rare Opportunity to Build Something That Will Last

For the past several years, we've been praying and working toward one goal: establishing a permanent home for Frontier Forge Academy.

Frontier Forge was founded on a simple conviction—that strong families, strong communities, and a free nation depend on men and women of faith, character, courage, and competence. Our mission is to equip the next generation with the practical skills, biblical foundation, and servant-leadership they'll need to lead well wherever God calls them. This has always been about far more than education; it's about preparing people to serve others and faithfully steward the responsibilities they've been given.

Today, an extraordinary opportunity has opened before us.

The property we've been pursuing in the mountains of West Virginia has officially been placed up for public auction. That means we have a limited window to secure what we believe could become the permanent home of Frontier Forge Academy before it belongs to someone else.

You can view the auction listing here:
https://www.auctionzip.com/Listings/4157840.html

This property has the potential to become a place where young men and women are trained not only in practical skills and emergency preparedness, but also in leadership, stewardship, and biblical truth. It's a place where families can gather, where future leaders can be mentored, and where lives can be shaped for generations to come. Rather than spending years building from the ground up, we have the opportunity to establish that foundation now.

If you've followed my work over the years, you know this vision has been on my heart for a long time. Whether you've watched my reporting, attended one of our events, or simply believe that the next generation deserves better preparation than the world is offering, I'm asking you to prayerfully consider helping us seize this opportunity.

Every donation, no matter the amount, is an investment in a mission that will outlast all of us. The impact of this property won't be measured in acres or buildings, but in the lives that will be transformed there for decades to come.

If you'd like to help make this vision a reality, you can make a tax-deductible donation here:

https://www.frontierforge.org/vision

If you're unable to give financially, I would ask you to do two things: pray with us, and share this post with others who believe in what we're building together.

Thank you for standing with us and for believing in the mission of Frontier Forge Academy. With God's provision and your partnership, we have an opportunity to establish something that will continue equipping faithful, capable leaders for generations to come.

— Chuck Holton

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