Chuck Holton
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DAESH 2.0 is Here
ISIS Is Making a Comeback – And the World Is Letting It Happen
February 16, 2025
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ISIS Attacker in Austria holds up the ISIS symbol of victory as he is detained by police

 

When a 14-year-old boy was stabbed to death in Austria by a Syrian refugee who pledged allegiance to ISIS, the world barely took notice. It was yet another tragic, random act of violence in the news cycle—except it wasn’t random. Authorities found an ISIS flag in the attacker’s home. He was radicalized online. And he was following a playbook that has been in circulation for years, waiting for the right conditions to spark a resurgence.

Those conditions are here.

ISIS isn’t just making a comeback—it’s been waiting in the shadows, watching, recruiting, and preparing. And right now, global security efforts are being scaled back, giving them exactly what they need: less resistance. While the world thought ISIS had been defeated, they were actually regrouping, recruiting online, and infiltrating via immigration into Europe and the U.S. This story isn’t over—it may just be getting started, and the next chapter could be even worse.

A Global Fight Against ISIS

The fight against ISIS was never just about the U.S. The Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) played a massive role in dismantling the so-called caliphate, losing over 12,000 fighters in the process. They did this with U.S. backing, intelligence, and air support, but they bore the brunt of the ground war. European and Middle Eastern nations also contributed to efforts in counterterrorism, cyber warfare, and military strikes.

But now, that collective effort is fading.

Recent ISIS-Linked Attacks

ISIS-affiliated violence is on the rise again:

  • Austria (2025): A Syrian asylum seeker radicalized online stabbed a 14-year-old boy to death and injured five others in Villach.

  • Somalia (2025): ISIS fighters launched deadly assaults on military bases, leading to clashes with security forces.

  • Syria (2025): A growing number of ISIS sleeper cells have attacked Syrian Democratic Forces and civilians.

  • Iraq (2024): A bombing in Baghdad killed dozens, claimed by an ISIS affiliate.

  • Turkey (2024): Authorities foiled a planned terrorist attack in Istanbul, arresting suspects with ties to ISIS.

Syria’s Power Vacuum and the Perfect Storm for Extremists

The Middle East is once again in chaos. Syria is leaderless. The power vacuum left behind is exactly the kind of environment that breeds extremism. ISIS fighters, who never truly left, are emerging from hiding, seizing weapons from abandoned military stockpiles, and reorganizing. They are finding ungoverned spaces to train, recruit, and spread their propaganda.

And what is happening? The U.S. and its allies are pulling away.

The Biden administration has cut aid that supported Kurdish forces who helped dismantle ISIS in the first place. International funding once kept prisons in Syria operational—prisons that house thousands of ISIS fighters. Now, with that funding slashed, there is growing fear of prison riots and mass breakouts. If that happens, thousands of battle-hardened jihadists will be free to launch attacks across the world.

The Digital Battlefield – ISIS Is Winning Online

ISIS doesn’t need territory to be deadly. They have adapted. Their battlefield is digital, and their recruitment efforts online have been disturbingly effective. The Austrian attacker? Radicalized through ISIS propaganda on the internet. And he’s not alone.

Social media platforms, despite their best efforts, remain breeding grounds for extremist content. Encrypted messaging apps make it nearly impossible to track recruitment. Young, disaffected men—whether in Europe, the U.S., or the Middle East—are being lured in through propaganda videos, Telegram chats, and even gaming platforms.

The playbook is simple: find an alienated individual, feed them a cause, and push them toward action.

And it’s working. ISIS-affiliated attacks are happening again in Europe, Africa, and the Middle East. In Somalia, they’ve launched deadly assaults on military bases. In Syria, they are regaining ground.

And soon, they’ll be targeting the West again.

The World Cannot Afford to Step Back

While the U.S. played a key role in dismantling ISIS, it was never the only force capable of holding them back. The Kurds fought on the ground, regional forces engaged in counterterrorism, and international coalitions provided crucial intelligence. But as Western nations reduce military presence, cut funding, and ignore the growing digital threat, they are creating an opening for ISIS to return in full force.

We’ve seen this story before. In 2011, when American troops left Iraq, it created the exact conditions that allowed ISIS to rise in the first place. History is repeating itself, and this time, the threat extends far beyond the Middle East.

Stopping ISIS requires sustained global cooperation—not just military action but intelligence-sharing, digital counterterrorism efforts, and funding to stabilize the regions where ISIS thrives. If the world ignores this threat, we will pay for it—sooner rather than later.

ISIS isn’t dead. It was just waiting. And now, it’s waking up. The question is: will we stop it before it’s too late?

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Episode 622 - Field Producer Dennis Azato and Chuck Reminisce

My erstwhile field producer and cameraman Dennis Azato has accompanied me on ten years of adventures across the globe. Today he joins me in Ukraine and we spend some time remembering our many trips together.

Episode 622 - Field Producer Dennis Azato and Chuck Reminisce

My heart grieves for Israel.

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We are finishing up the trip to Cartagena and it was a very productive couple of days. Thanks to all who gave to help the girls. You are making a great difference.

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In Cartagena Meeting With Single Moms

These are about half of the people we have been assisting here in Colombia. I will go live in a little while to talk about what we are finding.

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Doppelgänger:
Russia’s Digital Puppet Master and the Disinformation War on America

Did you think the internet was just a tool for communication? Think again.  It's become a battleground for psychological warfare. One of the most insidious threats in this space is Doppelgänger, a Russian disinformation campaign designed to divide Americans against each other by infiltrating social media with fake accounts, inflammatory content, and deceptive narratives.

How Doppelgänger Works: A Masterclass in Digital Deception

Doppelgänger is not a single entity but a coordinated network of fake social media accounts, cloned websites, and AI-powered bots that masquerade as real people and media sources. The goal? To amplify existing societal divisions, provoke outrage, and weaken trust in American institutions.

1. Creating Fake Social Media Accounts

The campaign relies on armies of fake profiles, each carefully crafted to blend into specific communities and interest groups. These accounts:

  • Use AI-generated profile pictures or stolen images from real users.

  • Have generic or misspelled names (e.g., “John_Smith77” or “Sarah_Willams” instead of “Williams”).

  • Lack a verifiable history—often created just weeks or months before they start posting politically charged content.

  • Follow a mix of real users and other fake accounts to make them seem legitimate.

2. Targeting Polarized Groups

Doppelgänger does not create new issues; instead, it weaponizes existing tensions by tailoring messages to specific audiences. Some tactics include:

  • For Conservatives: Fake accounts push content suggesting that elections are rigged, crime is out of control, or that the U.S. government is suppressing free speech and religion.

  • For Liberals: They promote narratives that law enforcement is irredeemably corrupt, that certain groups are perpetually oppressed, or that America’s institutions cannot be reformed but must be dismantled.

  • For Minority Communities: Bots spread fake news about discrimination, police brutality, or foreign policy decisions to erode trust in the government and law enforcement.

  • For Veterans & Military Families: They exploit patriotism and distrust of the government by spreading conspiracy theories about military funding, treatment of soldiers, or secret government agendas.

3. Flooding Social Media With Provocative Content

Once these fake accounts gain a following, they unleash a firehose of provocative, misleading, and divisive content. Examples include:

  • Misleading memes that distort facts about elections, social justice issues, or international conflicts.

  • Fake news articles cloned from reputable media outlets but edited to contain false or misleading claims.

  • Manipulated videos designed to make political figures appear incompetent, corrupt, or extreme.

  • AI-generated comments on high-profile posts, inflaming debates by posing as passionate partisans.

These tactics trap real users into emotionally charged debates, leading them to spread misinformation unknowingly. The more viral the content, the more effective it becomes in shifting public perception.

4. Orchestrating Hashtag Campaigns & Comment Storms

Doppelgänger also manipulates the algorithmic nature of social media by coordinating massive waves of fake engagement. Here’s how:

  • Coordinated hashtags: Bots push controversial hashtags (e.g., #RiggedElection, #DefundThePolice, #FakePandemic) to make them trend.

  • Comment storms: Dozens of fake accounts flood the replies of journalists, politicians, or influencers with nearly identical inflammatory comments to create the illusion of widespread sentiment.

  • Fake influencer personas: Some fake accounts operate like influencers, gaining followers and trust before dropping divisive posts that sway public opinion.

5. Playing Both Sides to Keep the Chaos Going

One of the most devious aspects of Doppelgänger is that it doesn’t favor one political side—it plays both sides to maximize division. For instance:

  • Fake conservative accounts claim Democrats are destroying the country.

  • Fake liberal accounts claim Republicans are leading America toward authoritarianism.

  • Fake “neutral” accounts pose as independent voices but subtly encourage distrust in institutions, media, and the democratic process.

Real-World Impact: How Doppelgänger Has Influenced Americans

This campaign has had real consequences, influencing public discourse, elections, and even protests. Examples include:

  • 2020 Election Interference: Doppelgänger pushed both "election fraud" and "voter suppression" narratives to sow chaos regardless of the outcome.

  • COVID-19 Misinformation: The network spread contradictory messages—some accounts pushed anti-vaccine propaganda, while others claimed the pandemic was far worse than reported, further dividing the public.

  • George Floyd Protests: Some fake accounts encouraged violent responses, while others pushed conspiracy theories that the protests were staged.

How to Recognize a Doppelgänger Account

To fight back, you must learn to spot fake social media accounts:

  1. Profile Picture Test: Run the image through a reverse search (like Google Reverse Image or TinEye). If it appears elsewhere, it’s likely stolen or AI-generated.

  2. Posting Patterns: Fake accounts post non-stop, often at all hours, since they operate from different time zones.

  3. Weird Followers & Engagement: They may have lots of followers but minimal personal interactions (no birthday posts, no family pictures, no casual conversations).

  4. Suspicious Language: Awkward phrasing, excessive typos, or a lack of regional slang can indicate a non-native English speaker running the account.

  5. Content Focus: If the account only posts about politics, never about hobbies, family, or daily life, it’s likely fake.

What You Can Do to Stop Doppelgänger

You’re not powerless against this disinformation war. Here’s how to fight back:

  • Verify Before You Share: Always check multiple sources before sharing sensational news.

  • Report Suspicious Accounts: If something feels off, report the account to the platform.

  • Don’t Engage with Bots: Trolls and fake accounts thrive on engagement. Ignoring them weakens their impact.

  • Educate Others: Talk to friends and family about these tactics so they don’t fall victim.

Conclusion: A Battle for the American Mind

Doppelgänger is not about convincing you to support Russia—it’s about tearing Americans apart from within. By amplifying anger, fear, and distrust, this campaign weakens the U.S. without firing a single bullet.

The best defense? Awareness, critical thinking, and unity. If we recognize and reject these manipulative tactics, we can fight back against the invisible war being waged in our social media feeds.

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My Two Trips to Chernobyl
Photos from my visits in 2007 and 2014

I took two tours of Chernobyl - one in 2007 as I was doing research for my book "Meltdown" and the second during the Maidan Square Protests in 2014.  Here are some photos:

My geiger counter watch showing radiation levels about 150x higher than normal.  Did not stay here long!
Abandoned amusement park in Pripyat, about 1KM from Chernobyl
2007 Standing atop an abandoned apartment complex in Pripyat
Reactor 4 in 2014 - you can see the new containment shield being built.  it was not installed over the reactor until 2016
A Nursery in Pripyat.  More than 150,000 people once lived here.
It's like time just stopped in 1986.  This is the gymnasium in Pripyat.

 

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Trump 2.0. Master Negotiator or Something Else?
Did Trump just throw Ukraine (and NATO) under the bus?

Trump’s negotiating style has always been unconventional, but it does follow a certain logic—at least in his own strategic framework. His approach is a mix of hardball tactics, unpredictability, and personal relationships, but how he applies those elements can sometimes appear contradictory. Here’s a breakdown of how this could fit into his broader strategy:

1. The “Madman Theory” and Anchoring Tactics

Trump often uses extreme opening positions, as you noted, to anchor negotiations in his favor. The classic example is threatening 25% tariffs on Mexico to force them into border security agreements. This works when:

  • The other party fears the consequences.
  • He has leverage (i.e., Mexico's economic dependence on the U.S.).
  • He can later walk back the extreme position while still achieving his objectives.

2. Friends vs. Enemies: Why He Bullies Allies and Woos Dictators

This is where things get interesting. Trump has a pattern of being tough on allies (NATO, South Korea, Canada, Germany) and more accommodating with adversaries (Putin, Kim Jong-un, Xi Jinping). Why?

  • Transactional Worldview: Trump sees allies as entities that should "pay their fair share." He doesn't believe in historical alliances for their own sake, but rather as business arrangements where the U.S. should extract maximum benefit.
  • Respect for Strength, Not Institutions: Trump admires power and direct action more than international norms. Dictators like Putin and Kim Jong-un operate with raw authority, which he sees as a form of strength. He views democratic leaders as weaker because they are constrained by political processes and bureaucracy.
  • Disruptive Leverage: By attacking NATO, he pressures European nations to contribute more defense spending. However, this risks undermining alliances that give the U.S. strategic power in the long run.

3. The Putin Problem: A Negotiation Misfire?

Now, why does he seem to be giving away leverage when dealing with Putin? His current stance—suggesting Ukraine must cede territory before negotiations even begin—would typically be considered a weak opening move in a negotiation. Here are a few possible explanations:

  • “Keep Your Enemies Closer” Approach: Maybe Trump thinks that by flattering Putin and giving him early concessions, he can build a personal relationship that allows for a later deal.
  • Isolationist Instincts: Trump has long been skeptical of U.S. intervention abroad. He may genuinely believe Ukraine should give up land because he doesn’t see the conflict as an American priority.
  • Desire to End the War Quickly: If Trump’s primary goal is simply to end the war and "bring peace," he may not care how it happens—just that it does.
  • Misjudgment of Putin’s Position: Unlike Mexico or NATO, where Trump had leverage, Russia is already in a strong position militarily in Ukraine and may see Trump's approach as a sign of weakness rather than strength.

4. A Flawed Negotiator?

Trump’s methods are based on power, bluster, and personal relationships rather than strategic consistency. That means:

  • When he has leverage, he often wins (Mexico border policy, NATO defense spending increases).
  • When he lacks leverage, he sometimes makes premature concessions (North Korea summits with no real denuclearization, China trade deals that didn’t fundamentally shift the balance).
  • His personal affinity for strongmen can sometimes cloud his judgment. He may mistake friendly words from dictators for genuine respect or willingness to deal, when in reality, they are manipulating him.

Conclusion

Trump is a high-risk, high-reward negotiator, and his approach often depends on whether his tactics match the situation. In some cases (business deals, Mexico tariffs), his extreme positions yield results. In others (Putin, Kim Jong-un), his strategy appears more naive, giving away leverage in hopes of a personal breakthrough that may never come.

If he were truly playing the "Art of the Deal" approach with Russia, he would:

  • Threaten greater U.S. support for Ukraine to pressure Russia into negotiations.
  • Hold back on preemptive concessions like NATO membership restrictions.
  • Keep Putin guessing rather than openly suggesting a willingness to hand him part of Ukraine.

Instead, by leading with appeasement, he’s not anchoring high—he’s giving the other side confidence that they can take more. Whether this is strategic (keeping enemies close) or a fundamental misunderstanding of geopolitics is debatable.

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