Chuck Holton
Politics • Culture • News
The Migrant Crisis in Panama: What’s Really Happening
February 26, 2025
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A boat departs to Colombia from Gardi Sugdub on Panama’s Caribbean coast, Monday, Feb. 24, 2025, carrying Venezuelan migrants on their way back from southern Mexico after giving up hopes of reaching the U.S. as President Trump’s cracks down on migration.(AP Photo/Matias Delacroix)

For years, I’ve reported on migration crises from war zones to the U.S. border. But now, something different is happening—migrants are turning around and heading back south. Why? Because all it took was the will to close the border.

For four years, the Biden administration told us they were “doing all they could” to control the border. If only Congress would pass a bill, if only they had more funding. Meanwhile, the flood of illegal crossings continued. Then, President Trump took office, and overnight, the crisis was shut down. Instead of 5,000 to 15,000 migrants a day, we’re seeing just dozens. And now, Panama is feeling the effects.

The Darien Gap: A Migrant Superhighway

The Darien Gap is a brutal, lawless jungle between Colombia and Panama. At its peak, 5,000 migrants per day made the trek through its swamps, cliffs, and deadly terrain. Under the Biden administration, the numbers soared, with over 14,000 crossings in a single day at one point. This was a major operation, fueled by cartels and smugglers profiting off human misery.

But as soon as Trump’s border policies kicked in, the flood through the Darien Gap all but stopped. Now, only about 10 to 15 migrants a day are attempting the journey north. Panama, working with the U.S., is now deporting migrants back to their home countries—or placing them in jungle camps indefinitely. Facing that reality, many have decided to return south.

A Multi-Billion Dollar Industry

This crisis hasn’t just been about people—it’s been big business. Cartels, corrupt governments, and even NGOs have raked in billions from the movement of migrants across Latin America. Panama alone was spending $6 million a week on migrant food and housing. Now, with the border closed, smugglers are flipping their operations—charging migrants $200 to $300 per person to return south instead of moving them north. Even boats smuggling migrants back to Colombia are making a fortune.

One tragic incident highlights the dangers: a boat carrying 22 migrants capsized recently, drowning an 8-year-old Venezuelan boy. These risks were the same on the way north, yet under the previous administration, the U.S. actively enabled the migration instead of stopping it.

What Happens Next?

We’re not done covering this. Today, I’ll be heading out to the Darien region to see the situation firsthand. Instead of hiking through the jungle, migrants are now boarding boats to Colombia, reversing the very route they once took in desperation to reach the U.S.

One woman I interviewed summed it up: “I regret ever trying to go to the U.S. It’s been nothing but misery.” That’s the power of enforcing the law. The migration crisis wasn’t inevitable—it was engineered. Now, for the first time in years, we’re seeing what happens when that changes.

 

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Calling Young Men to Lead: Join The Forge This Summer

We’re launching our very first Forge Field Leadership Camp this summer!

The Forge is a one-week, field-based camp for young men (ages 13–17), built on a biblical foundation. It’s designed to train real-world skills—navigation, survival, building, leadership—while shaping character, discipline, and faith.

This is more than a summer camp. It’s a call to rise.

Led by veterans and experienced mentors, these young men will be challenged to grow stronger in every way—physically, mentally, and spiritually.

Dates: August 2–9
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Apply now: https://www.frontierforge.org/

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Car Explosion Outside U.S. Embassy in Yerevan Sparks Fire, Investigation Underway

YEREVAN, Armenia — February 19, 2026
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Live Call TOMORROW
Our live call is this Saturday, February 21st at 12:00 PM Eastern.

Local’s members,

Our live call is this Saturday, February 21st at 12:00 PM Eastern.

Chuck just returned from Colombia and Syria and will be taking your questions—covering everything from ministry work on the ground in Colombia to the evolving geopolitical situation overseas. This is your chance to go deeper and hear directly from him.

He’ll also be sharing more about the upcoming Frontier Forge Institute summer camp, including its mission to train young men (ages 13–17) in Christian leadership, discipline, and responsibility. 

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Mercy on the Ground, War on the Horizon

The conflict between the United States and Iran is doing that strange dance right now. On one hand, you’ve got “negotiations” in Geneva. On the other hand… you’ve got aircraft carriers moving.

Axios reported this morning that we may be closer to striking Iran than most people realize. Not months. Not “someday.” Possibly days. And if you watch the hardware, it tells a clearer story than the press releases.

In just the last 48 hours, reports indicate the U.S. has surged:

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  • 12 F-22s

  • 18 F-35s

  • 6 E-3G Sentry AWACS aircraft

  • Roughly 40 aerial refueling tankers

Meanwhile, the USS Gerald R. Ford carrier strike group has passed the Rock of Gibraltar and entered the Mediterranean.

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That carrier does not have to sail into the Strait of Hormuz to be useful.

From the eastern Mediterranean—especially with tanker support—U.S. aircraft can strike targets inside Iran. Which means this could kick off before the Ford ever gets to the Gulf.

These “Talks” Aren’t Really Talks

The negotiations happening in Geneva aren’t face-to-face. There’s no American official sitting across a table from the Ayatollah. It’s shuttle diplomacy.

Omani intermediaries walk between rooms—one room with American envoys, another with Iranian representatives—carrying messages back and forth.

The U.S. says:
“You must give up highly enriched uranium and abandon your nuclear ambitions.”

Iran says:
“We’re willing to talk.”

And then quietly:
“Just not about that.”

That’s not negotiation.

And while the delay continues, the Ayatollah is publicly threatening to sink American carriers, calling them “big targets.”

Can Iran Sink a Carrier?

Let’s be serious for a moment. Yes, Iran has hypersonic missiles. Yes, they have thousands of short-range missiles designed to threaten neighbors like Saudi Arabia. Yes, they have speedboats with guns and some small submarines.

But here’s the problem for them:

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Iran’s Threat Videos, America’s Buildup, and the Question Nobody Wants to Answer

Right now, the nuclear talks in Geneva are stalling with Iran. Meanwhile, the United States is building combat power in the region at a level we haven’t seen since the Iraq invasion—two aircraft carriers, dozens of warships, hundreds of combat aircraft, and tens of thousands of troops either in theater or moving that direction.

 

The U.S. buildup is not subtle—and Iran knows it

From what I’m tracking, the U.S. is moving into the region with:

  • Two carrier strike groups (one already in theater and another inbound)

  • 300–400 combat jets in the region when you count land-based aircraft

  • Patriot and THAAD batteries shifting into place

  • Aegis destroyers tuned for ballistic missile defense

  • A steady stream of support aircraft—tankers, ISR platforms, and the stuff you don’t talk about on a public livestream

And here’s the point: the United States isn’t putting all that out there to “negotiate harder.” That’s the kind of posture you take when you want your opponent to understand the consequences before you act.

Iran’s information war just leveled up (and yes, the video was impressive)

Iran has been pumping out threat videos for weeks—straight of Hormuz posturing, military drills, the whole production.

But they dropped one recently that honestly looks like a Super Bowl ad for ballistic missiles.

And I’ll say this plainly: it was well-made. Whoever is building their media operation understands modern influence warfare. The goal isn’t just to scare Israel—it’s to scare Americans, spook markets, pressure allies, and make decision-makers hesitate.

The missile they’re showcasing is the Khoramshahr-4 (they’re pitching it as unstoppable, “uninterceptable,” and essentially a war-ending weapon).

So let’s talk about what it can do—and what it can’t.

Khoramshahr-4: a serious threat, but not a war-winner

From the way this missile is being described, it’s a liquid-fueled, medium-range system with roughly 2,000 km range—meaning Israel is in reach, U.S. bases in the region are in reach, and potentially some assets farther out are threatened depending on basing and launch options.

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But here’s the part that matters strategically:

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  • A missile can get through sometimes and still not win the war.

Even if Iran had a significant number of these—and even if a percentage penetrated defenses—that’s not enough to defeat the combined combat power the U.S. and Israel can bring to bear.

Iran can cause damage. Iran can kill people. Iran can make the cost real.

But Iran cannot win a conventional war against the U.S. and Israel.

That’s why they’re leaning so heavily into the psychological side: if you can’t win the fight, you try to prevent the fight.

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